July 30th – Cricket (Running Total -$378)
We come to the 3rd test with England now leading 1-0 and will be doing everything to hold onto that lead. Everything is in the favour of that happening with the Aussies in turmoil with strike bowler Mitchell Johnson out of form and the lynch mob after flashy opener Phil Hughes. The weather predicted during the 3rd test is also expected to be very ordinary and I think it will take a team to fail in one innings to leave it open for the win.
Firstly we come to Phil Hughes who has been surrounded by rumours today that he is to be dropped from the team in place of Shane Watson who will open. IF this happens then Australia have clearly lost the plot and might as well pack up and go home. I’m definitely not saying if Hughes doesn’t play then the Aussies don’t win but he is their investment in the future and if they turf him after a couple of rough starts, against what all quality commentators have called vicious bowling, then we are wasting our time in England. Not to mention the fact his replacement, Watson, only averagese 19.76 and is clearly an injury risk in the side having not finished a number of games he has played for Australia.
Ok i’ve got that off my chest now. Sorry about the rant!
Hard to really predict what will happen in this test but i would suggest sticking with batsmen who do well in tough conditions and don’t mind the stop start. Simon Katich is ideal in this situation whereas Ricky Ponting tends to have a little trouble getting going. Likewise on the other side Andrew Strauss is a brilliant beginner while Alaister Cook and Ian Bell have had trouble in the past getting away.
So our bets and results are:
$50 on Simon Katich to top score for the Aussies in the first innings @ $5.40 Second highest score so just missing out there.
$200 on Andrew Strauss to outscore Alastair Cook in the first innings @ $1.86 WINNER! Cook goes for a duck and we clean up
Profit for the Day +$122
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