August 27th – Rugby League (Running Total +$1484)
We have a few early bets in the NRL this week as i feel there are a couple of markets a little bit off. For this i have gone to Sportsbet as they offer some great multi-betting incentives plus decent odds. *Also if you haven’t already joined you get $50 free for signing up with no deposit required (Why not use it for this multi??)
First we look at Friday nights game where the Brisbane Broncos take on their little brothers the North Queensland Cowboys and at first glance many would say this will be a tight tussle with plenty of passion. However, after last weekend the tables turned and the Cowboys finals chances have taken a huge hit while the Broncos can all but secure a spot with a good win here. Add the doubt surrounding Matt Bowen and the Broncos look to be good things on paper. I am thinking the $1.91 minus 6.5 points start looks very generous.
Second game I look at is the Melbourne Storm against the Sydney Roosters. Again the Storm started to show signs of a recovery with a game performance against Manly. Greg Inglis back in the team after being cleared to play and they should go points crazy. Meanwhile the Rooster were ordinary at best against the Dogs who barely got out of second gear winning by over 20 points. The 22.5 points head start seems like a lot but i wouldn’t be surprised to see that gone by half time.
The third game i like is the Manly Sea Eagles against the Cronulla Sharks. Manly loomed as strong premiership contenders a number of weeks ago after beating the dogs and getting on a roll but recent weeks have said to me they are a little off their game again and i think the addition of Brett Stewart after so long out of the game might disrupt their backline which has been going well in recent weeks. Jamie Lyon is also out with injury this week and will be a huge loss. Meanwhile the Sharks have really only been “ordinary” in a couple of games and for most of the time have competed against all teams but lacked that bit of class to win games. They rarely get blown away and the 23.5 points start offered by Sportsbet is ridiculous.
So my bets are
$200 on the Broncos -6.5 points start against the Cowboys at $1.91
$200 on the Storm -22.5 points start against the Roosters at $1.91
$100 on the Sharks +23.5 points start against the Sea Eagles at $1.91
$100 on the multi of all 3 results at $6.97
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