Formula 1 – Race Bets
Well, you could’ve turned our and everyone elses qualifying predictions on their head and you might’ve got within a hope in hell of picking the result of qualifying. Force India on top, Jensen Button starting in 14th, Hamilton not making the top 10 – madness. Our little bet on Vettel didn’t get far as the Red Bulls didn’t have much pace with race fuel on board – very unexpected.
With the form guide out the window we have a great chance to make big money by picking a winner for the race – but picking a winner isn’t going to be easy. The betting says Kimi Raikkonen is the best chance – he’ll be hoping to fly off the line using KERS and then use his added fuel to stay ahead. But can he really do it? He starts from 6th, even making two or three more places he’ll be behind Trulli and Heidfeld who have just as much fuel on board. I think it’s a case of people getting on a former world champion in a Ferrari than true form. I’ve no doubt he’ll be on the podium should he get to race his race.
No one reckons Fisichella has a chance despite starting from pole. I’m inclined to agree – he’s just too short on fuel. Barrichello is the other hope for a win. The Brazilian will pit early on lap 10, but the pundits all agree the field will have spread out a lot by then, especially as many of the cars outside the top ten have put a lot of fuel in. He pits too early for my liking though.
I really think Toyota are the real deal this weekend. Trulli starts from second with enough fuel to ensure he is a real contender. Barrichello is the other chance. Raik, Trulli and Barra will be fighting for the win – and they all have a good chance.
As I’ve already mentioned, Raikkonen isn’t value – but Trulli at $4.8 is. I think we can invest $50 at $4.8 on him and know we are getting value for the really good chance he has. If you’re a fan of the Betfair back/lay system I’d strongly recommend taking him now and as the race progresses as expected, you can lay him off for a free bet.
It will be a really exciting race at a fantastic venue for the cars to go around – even neutrals will enjoy the spectacle at Spa!
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