September 6th – Rugby League (Running Total +$1465)
A great night for us on Friday with our predictions of a Dragons blowout proving to be true. Unfortunately the other game didn’t quite go our way with the Tigers throwing the ball away from the get go and 46 points were scored just going over our 40.5 point maximum.
Still a profit of $208 on the night
Today’s Games
First we have a great game that i think will live up to the hype in Newcastle vs Penrith. This game sees to evenly matched sides who both have the ability to really put on a show when they are on song. We can only hope they both do and we are in for some great viewing. Add to that the winner gets to play for another week by moving into the top 8 and going the finals series. If Newcastle win they play the Bulldogs next week and if Penrith win they play the Dragons.
I am not game to pick this one but i would imagine there could be alot of points in it. The 47.5 points for the over under set by SportsTAB is probably about right so i think that is better left alone.
In the other games we have Brisbane who should be too good for Canberra, but after Canberra thrashed them a few weeks ago its not worth betting on that either.
The last game i am reviewing is the Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys. I was amazed earlier in the week when the Roosters were installed as favourites. I did say last week the Cowboys had nothing to play for and will hang their boots up against the Broncos but they proved me wrong by really getting stuck in there and by all acocunts were pretty unlucky to lose. That tells me they are switched on and keen to finish the year off strong. Meanwhile the Roosters have been nothing short of ordinary in the past couple of weeks (If not the entire year) and i don’t think the fact that its Craig Fitzgibbon and Brad Fittler’s last games and the Wooden Spoon on the line can possibly help them get over the line here. Unfortunately for me some of the big punters noticed this miss-price and have loaded up and the Cowboys have gone from outsiders to favourites and leaves small options to make good money. Although i think the Cowboys really could put a cricket score on here but the fact that the Roosters could start well puts me off that. Insteaed i am going for a safer bet in North Queensland leading at Half Time and going on to win.
$200 on the Cowboys Half / Full double at $2.40 on Betfair
Results
The Half/Full double has stitched us up and i should have listened to myself a little closer. I recieved a number of emails after posting about the thoughts of doing a Roosters / NQLD Half / Full double since i had stated the Rooster do in fact start well. I wish i had’ve changed my bet as they cleaned up with the Roosters leading 16-6 at Half Time before being blown away in the second half Cowboys winning by 16 points.
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