September 22nd – AFL
Well it has come time to lay our Geelong bet off. We got in at the right time and secured Geelong for $200 at $4.10 (Potential Profit $820). Geelong have now come in to $1.64 which means we can get our bet back and have a freebie on the final.
As we stood to win $820 if Geelong won we can lay off our $200 bet plus another $58 (Total $258) for a liability of only $168 meaning if St Kilda wins we end up even for the season but if Geelong win we collect a huge $658.
In my opinion I do think Geelong will win after they really switched on last week and destroyed their rivals in an easy win. Meanwhile St Kilda had to work hard just to get to the final and will have had some emotion drained out of them. However, I do feel the $1.64 price is a little skinny and I certainly wouldn’t be backing them at that price. I would expect that Gary Ablett jnr will be pumped after finally receiving recognition for his efforts and will be everywhere in a bid to claim the Norm Smith Medal for best on ground in the Grand Final. For the record he is $5.80 on Betfair
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