January 27th – PGA and European Tour
After a really strong start to the European and PGA Tours this year we have another strong round of betting for this weekend. The win by MARTIN KAYMER at the Abu Dhabi Championship backed the runner-up finish by ROBERT ALLENBY the week before in the Sony Open to keep the ball rolling. This weeks bets are only available to our paying subscribers plus those who sign up for the FREE month of tips before the end of the day.
Don’t miss your chance to get on board today.
Weekend Review
Another great weekend for us that starting with both our selections on Friday night at Mooney Valley winning at very nice odds. Our Early Mail for Saturday continued the good run with 2 more winners from our 4 selections giving us another 17% increase for the weekend on racing alone.
In the golf the PGA TOUR Bob Hope Classic we only eneded up with one head to head bet which saw Brian Gay beat Charles Howell III by 2 shots.
In the European Tour overnight we had a massive result with Martin Kaymer winning the Abu Dhabi Championship while our head to head bets ended with 1 win, 1 loss and a tie. All up our Sports fund had a whopping 31% increase!!
In the NFL our tip for the New York Jets to win the Super Bowl at $50 last weekend is looking good to take it all the way this week. The Jets got off to a flyer in the first half and did lead 17-3 at one stage before a late Indianapolis Colts fight back saw the deficit reduced to 17-14 at half time. I know a lot of you have chosen various ways to lay off your bet so I wish you all luck in what you have done.
January 23rd – The Theorist
The Theorist has sent though his best each way’s of the day. As always, he’s looking for the longer odds value bets, so look to get the best value on the bookies or totes.
Sandown
R5 #10 – Eau De Joie $5
R7 #6,11 – Trajet – $8 , Bad Angel $11
R8 #8,11 – Newgrange $51 , Saint Sebastian $12
Rosehill
R2 #5 – How Much My Love $8
R6 #9 – Don Luigi $51
Eagle Farm
R2 #11 Donny’s Magic $41
R5 #9 Bugsytwoshoes $8
R7 #3,14 Mr Nappy $10, Jungle Tessla $8
R8 #7 King Of The Kongo $4.20
Morphettville
R2 #6 Beltija $4.40
R5 #4 Mytika $12
R6 #9 Puerto Banus $4.20
R8 #4,9 Bluepoles $12.60, Snow Bunny $22.70
Great Promotion from SportsBet
Every now and then one of the betting agencies we use has an excellent promotion that we feel obliged to pass on to our customers. Most of the time it comes from what i term as the Tote agencies such as IASBet, Centebet etc but without doubt the agency that is making leaps and bounds and leading the way.
Apart from their constant great promotions for depositing customers (You get $50 for signing up without offering any credit card info or making even having to make a deposit), they constantly offer great promotions giving you a chance to win a free bet even when your bet loses.
For example during the summer cricket tests if you had backed someone for top run scorer and they were given out by referral then you received your money back.
This time round they are offering a great promotion on the Australian Open Tennis. If you back someone and they lose in 5 sets then you get your money back. With a number of players going the distance at the Aussie Open i think that is great value. In fact if i had placed our bet on Richard Gasquet on SportsBet we would have gotten our free bet when he went down in 5 to Mikhail Youzhny.
I always suggest to all my subscribers to open as many accounts as possible as you never know when you are going to find great odds or promotions that give you the best chance to make money. All these things turn the odds more in your favour.
If you haven’t already signed up then click the banner below to take advantage of this promotion and the great deals we have organised with SportsBet.
January 20th – PGA and European Tour Golf
I normally hold off till after the first round but have decided to post my selections for everyone this week.
Golf kicks off early this weekend with the PGA Tour’s Bob Hope Classic getting underway on Wednesday (US Time) Thursday morning in Australia. This course has been won by some of the purest iron players on the tour and I would expect that trend to continue this weekend. Tempted to take on the Big 8 (J. Leonard, M. Weir, R. Moore, T. Clark, C. Campbell, J. Rose, P. Perez and M Kuchar) at $2.85 but I have a feeling there are a few golfers who could enjoy not having to belt the cover off every ball. The main reason that swayed me away from these 8 is that some of them aren’t in form and I don’t think can win and it leaves out some really strong contenders in DAVID TOMS ($42) who played really well last week without luck, JOHN SENDEN ($38) who just loves these styles of courses and NICK O’HERN ($95) who is ranked as one of the best iron players on the PGA Tour. I really like the look of our head to head bets in this tournament which are at the bottom of the page. **Nick O’hern didn’t take his place in the starting field.
In the European Tour we head to Abu Dhabi and a stellar field takes to the course. Hard to find a winner at the odds on offer but one of our favourite golfers to follow MARTIN KAYMER ($15) has to be seriously considered as he has finished 1st and 2nd in his last 2 attempts here and has a proven record when playing in the middle east. We have also seen how quickly he finds some form after having some time off too. The more I type the more I am tempted to place some money on him for the outright win (Ok I will!). LEE WESTWOOD ($14) also has very strong claims after proving in 2009 that he has made the next step up to be considered one of the best in the world week in week out. When making your selections here keep in mind that this is a high scoring course. The winner will have to shoot close to if not higher than 20 under. That brings in people such as CAMILLO VILEGAS ($42), LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN ($50) and DANNY WILLET ($75). Willett also played very well last week and may have overcome the yips he had at the end of 2009. THONGJAI JAIDEE ($140) has performed well here in the past and is a great price whilst I also consider JEEV MILKHA SINGH ($130) a huge show in this part of the world as he loves the warm conditions as well.
Our Bets this week are:
PGA TOUR
We have no overall bets so far but we will back some head to head matches for the overall result.
NICK O’HERN to beat Matthew Goggin at $1.90 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet) **Nick O’Hern didn’t take his pllace on the first tee so the bet is void.
BRIAN GAY to beat Charles Howell at $1.90 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet)
EUROPEAN TOUR
MARTIN KAYMER to win the Abu Dhabi Championship at $15 (Sports Managed Fund 2% Bet)
Head to head matches
LEE WESTWOOD to beat Geoff Ogilvy at $1.87 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 5% Bet)
RORY McILROY to beat HENRIK STENSON at $1.85 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet)
THONGCHAI JAIDEE to beat Richard Green at $1.90 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 15% Bet)
January 20th – Australian Open (Day 3)
Mixed results with our 2nd wave of bets finishing 2 from 4. A good win to Kvitova whilst Alamagro looked to have things easy till he was pushed to 5 sets against Malisse. Starace just never showed up whilst Gasquet had the match in his grasp up 2 sets to love and Youzhny suffering from cramps. HE even was up a break in the final set and held a couple of match points before eventually losing. Up till then things had opened up nicely on that side of the draw with Djokovic the only big seed to survive. Djokovic could be a decent bet overall now as he has no real contenders till the semi finals now.
Our Bets today are:
VANIA KING to beat Robert Vinci at $2.28 (Sports Managed Fund 5% Bet) **King played well against Cibulkova in the first round and I think deserved to be favourite for this match too. Worth a bet at $2.28.
IVO KARLOVIC to beat Julian Benneteau at $1.67 (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet) **Karlovic has had the wood on Benneteau and overcame the dangerous Stepanek in the first round whilst Benneteau struggled against the lowly David Guez.
ELENA DEMENTIAVA to beat Justine Henin at $2.06 (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet) **I couldn’t believe it when I saw the price come up for this match. Yes when Henin was on top of her game she was all but unstoppable but times have changed and the women’s game has changed as well. Henin is not that long into her comeback and although she has produced some good results she is coming up against a player who has been on the top of her game for well over a year now. I think this will be a cracking match but at the odds it is time to load up (I almost made this a 15% bet)
January 19th – Australian Open
A great first round of bets for us in the Australian Open with BERNARD TOMIC, MARC, GICQUEL, EKATERINA MAKAROVA and SARA ERRANI all winning giving us a perfect 4 from 4 and a solid 25% increase to our Sports Managed Fund. All won in straight sets and Makarova looked solid knocking out the 18th Seed in Virginnie Razzano.
For our next wave of bets I like
PETRA KVITOVA to beat Jill Craybas at $1.61 (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet) **This is Kvitova’s first tournament for the year which is my only concern. Kvitova finished the year impressively in 2009 and took down some big names. Although Craybas has had 2 tournaments warm-up before this she has been wiped out in the 1st round both times.
NICHOLAS ALAMAGRO to beat Xavier Malisse at $2.08 (Sports Managed Fund 5% Bet) **Alamagro has always done well for us in the majors and I fail to see how Malisse is the favourite since he spent the end of 2009 on the Challenger Tour.
POTITO STARACE to beat Stephane Robert at $1.68 (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet) **While Starace has not been setting the world on fire he has been playing much harder opposition than Robert who again has been spending the majority of his time on the Challenger Tour.
RICHARD GASQUET to beat Mikhail Youzhny at $1.84 (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet) **A tough opener for Gasquet but as I said in my opening email he is my smokie to go deep into the tournament so I feel obliged to back him here. This will be a big test to see whether he is fatigued from reaching the final last week in Sydney. Meanwhile Youzhny had a great finish to the year and on his day can match it with the top players in the world. He does have a habit of just not turning up sometimes though.
Weekend Sports Results
We had an up and down weekend where we saw very little luck go our way.
In the Cricket we had backed UMAR AKMAL to be the top scorer for Pakistan for the series. He lead going in the final test from Salmon Butt but when Butt ran Akmal out inth e first innings for 8 whilst he went on to score a 100 our money was gone.
In the golf we got 1 out 3 head to head matches in Europe with DARREN CLARKE the only winner. Meanwhile on the PGA Tour we had more bad luck when we looked certain to clean sweep our 3 head to head bets till RORY SABBATINI 3 over in the final round against Angel Cabrera’s 2 under to fall short by 1 shot. ROBERT ALLENBY and STUART CINK won their head to head matches to keep the money coming in. However, the biggest tragedy was our Big 7 against the field bet which looked certain to collect but in the end fell just short with RYAN PALMER getting all the luck with a poor chip shot on the last that hit the pin when certain to fly well past the hole. The resulting easy birdie putt meant Allenby had to sink an 8ft putt to tie and he missed. In fact we finished 2nd, 3rd and 4th in the overall standings and i really feel hard done by.
Finally the weekend ended on a positive note when we sent the tip out to all subscribers to get on board the NEW YORK JETS to win the Superbowl when they trailed 7-0 against the San Diego Chargers and had blown out to $50 for the big prize. As we stated the Jets were playing well and they came home to win 17-14 and move on to the next round. Their price was also smashed in on Betfair to $9.60 leaving many options open to guarentee a profit on the result.
January 18th – Australian Open Tennis
As always we will be providing bets on the tennis majors during the year starting with the Australian Open.
In the overall men’s market nothing really stood out for me at this stage but as we get deeper into the tournament we may see more action. I’m normally a fan of jumping on one of the big roughies in the hope that they go deep into the tournament and preferably one or two of the big guns get knocked out too. This year I like the look of the way Richard Gasquet is playing and I will be getting on him a few times if the odds present themselves.
On the women’s side of the draw things are very tight with a number of big contenders looking good coming into form early in the season. Add to that the comebacks of Justine Henin and Kim Clijsters that seem to be getting straight back into things. The player who has looked great for a number of years but has blown more opportunities than most is Elena Dementieva who won last week in Sydney. Dementieva is currently $12 at the moment and I think that may be a bit short considering if most of the big guns survive the first week she will still be the same price coming into the quarter finals. We’ll leave it all alone for now.
Our Bets so far are:
BERNARD TOMIC to beat Guillermo Rufin at $1.65 (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet) **Massive odds considering that Rufin is playing his first ever tournament on the ATP tour whilst Tomic has been here before and performed very well under pressure.
MARC GICQUEL to beat Simone Bolleli at $1.47 (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet) **Gicquel has been in great form of late reaching the quarter finals of the Heineken Open last weekend and seems well worth the short quote.
EKATERINA MAKAROVA to beat Virginnie Razzano at $3.70 (Sports Managed Fund 3% Bet) **Razzano is playing pretty ordinary at the moment and I think is a big chance of being the first seeded player knocked out on the women’s side of the draw. With rankings of Makarova (60) and Razzano (18) there is not much between these two at all.
SARA ERRANI to beat Klara Zakapalova at $1.36 (Sports Managed Fund 15% Bet) **Definitely the best bet of the early rounds as Errani is in super form reaching the semi-finals in Hobart last week claiming some big names along the way. Zakapalova was also beaten 1-6, 1-6 in her last match which was also against Errani.
**On a side note Betfair is offering a promotion at the moment where if you do a $20 multi with 5 legs or more and you only fail by 1 leg then you get your stake back. Not bad i think!
Blackbook Update
Once again another Blackbooked horse has gone on to perform well after being tagged. ADOPTME TWO was tagged after winning its maiden race in impressive fashion at Strathalbyn 2 starts ago.
Since then we have twice backed him for a maximum 5% Horse Managed Fund bet and collected the cash after he won again today for 3 straight wins. This horse has some talent and will win alot of races through its career.
On a side note that win today gives the Horse Managed Fund another big win which has seen an increase of 56% since Mid December. If you are not yet part of this and would like to receive more information then send an email to brad@toppunter.net.
Next Page »