February 13th – Horse Racing (Big 6 Preview)
The NSWTAB Big 6 promotion reaches a massive $2million jackpot today and is definitely worth a crack. You could try a number of methods from our Weekend Horse Ratings, Early Mail Selections or we have also had one of our team do his preview of the races along with a staking plan for you.
Hi All,
The Big 6 is a special one this weekend, with expected prize pool of over $2m with loads of cash poured in by the TAB for a mega jackpot.
We’d like nothing more than to help you get over the line, so we’ve got a special preview for the NSW Tab which is races 7, 8 9 at Mooney Valley and races 6, 7, 8 at Randwick. We’ll go wide where we need to make sure we’ve included those bigger odds hopefuls, but always looking to keep the multiples down to get a maximum %.
Leg 1: The NSW BIG6 kicks off with the William Reid Stakes, race 7 around Mooney Valley. The scratching of Black Caviar leaves the race with a few more chances and all the talk is about the speed in the race – will there be enough for a latecomer like NICCONI who fires home from the back? Considering his stunning win last start we can’t go past him, but we’ll put in WANTED who was the winner until the final few strides at Flemington. SHELLSCRAPE is an include due to the rain about the track – the Chris Waller trained horse is a real mudlark who wasn’t too far away last start and may go better in the wet.
Take 8, 5, 7 for safety, 7 & 5 for the risk
Leg 2: The Randwick legs start with a very good race in the Royal Sovereign Stakes. You’d have to suspect there are only three main chances in MANHATTAN RAIN, DEMERIT and MORE THAN GREAT.
Take 1, 2, 4, and try 1, 2 for the shorter risk
Leg 3: Back to the Valley. This race should play into ZARITA who is on a last prep before heading out to the breeding barn. With $1.5m in winnings, she gets in light due to the weight-for-age. She will be short but should be winning. In case of a failure, we’ve always liked SILVERCITYMISS and could threaten an upset at odds.
Take the 1 as your standout, include the 8 for an at odds selection.
Leg 4: Gee this one is a toughy. The track is rated slow so the likes of MONTANA FLYER are on the up. We are going to go with a wide spread: MADAME PEDRILLE, STRAWBERRY FIELD, MONTANA FLYER and include BEJEWELLED if the track looks like getting to a heavy.
Take 2, 4, 6 and 8 in the mud
Leg 5: The last event at Moonee Valley is also tricky with a 2040m slog over a well worn soft track. AIGLON with a claim is worth a look if it can lead, ISHANT won here last start but may find his weight tough going, MY BENTLEY was a big favourite last start and should improve.
Take 2, 5, 8
Leg 6: The final leg and if you’re alive now it’s time to start laying off your bets and collecting no matter what happens. Laying with Betfair is the go for this (shoot through an email if you don’t have a clue about laying off once your multiples get up over a few legs). KRONER loves the wet, as does DREAMSCAPE and PINS ON PARADE is never too far away.
Take 1, 5, 6
With all the inclusions, $100 gets you 15.4%, and if you take the riskier options and leave a few out, $100 gets you 46% (of a potential $2m!). Don’t forget 10% of something is better than 100% of nothing so include those runners who might just have a chance in the weaker fields of Legs 4 & 5.
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