March 23rd – PGA and European Tour Golf
I’ve got a nice early start on the golf this weekend so thought I would get my thoughts out there and give everyone the best chance to get on board.
The European Tour is heading to Spain for the Open de Andalucia de Golf at the Parador de Málaga Golf Club. It’s hard to get a real bearing again on the tournament as this tournament has not been held here in recent times. The only real read you can get on the tournament is from pictures and looking at the course guide which suggests that this is going to be a shoot out with a short course and flat greens suggesting there will be birdies everywhere. The weather hasn’t been great in the lead up with major rain soaking the course, however that is expected to improve for the weekend. Usually that measn that it will be preferred lies and players can aim straight at the pins with the soft greens. I would think the winner would have to shoot better than 20 under to win. MIGUEL ANGEL JIMENIZ ($19.50) is a Malaga native and should relish the conditions. PABLO MARTIN ($60) actually lives just down the road from the course and played many times as a child, however, after a strong start to the season with a win and a 6th place in the first 2 tournaments he has struggled in recent weeks. Unfortunately for Martin his father passed away after that strong start and he hasn’t found his game again since. Maybe staying back home and being in a comfortable place may help him lift. Others who will love the birdie fest include GARETH MAYBIN ($50), JEPPE HULDAHL ($110) and DANNY WILLET ($26) who found some good form last weekend.
In the PGA Tour we only have 2 weeks till the first major of the year in the Masters held at the great Augusta National and players will be keen to get their swing smooth ready to take on TIGER WOODS in his much awaited return. I would expect the skills needed to perform well at Augusta will be on display here and those featuring in the top of the pack will be who I will favour in a fortnights time. This weekend its the Arnold Palmer Invitational at the Bay Hill Club and once again amazingly PHIL MICKELSON ($13.50) heads the betting by a long way and once again I am amazed. Phil won here way back in 1997 and has shown nothing this year to suggest he is a strong contender and worthy favourite each week LAY LAY LAY. If you don’t already have a Betfair account please click here and then contact me for information on use it as you really are missing out on some easy money backing people to lose rather than win! JIM FURYK ($24) has to be considered again after winning last weekend and will appreciate the toughness of this Palmer layout. For once I am not spruiking the chances of ROBERT ALLENBY ($32) who I expect will struggle with the imagination and skill needed around the greens. Even in his great form I wouldn’t be surprised to see him miss the cut this week. I was hoping for slightly higher odds but I like the chances of RETIEF GOOSEN ($36) not just this week but at the Masters as well (There is a $38 chance). JUSTIN ROSE ($46) has showed a level of consistency this year that I haven’t seen before and that says to me he in control of his game. He is a very talented golfer and if he gets on a wave he could beat anyone. Another golfer that if you see him playing well this weekend then get all over him to win the Masters. RICKIE FOWLER ($75) has come ahead in leaps and bounds in 2010 and is a player of the future. Appears to have a solid head on his shoulders and although I don’t think he has the mental strength to win hear I wouldn’t surprise to see him finish very high here.
Our bets are:
European Tour
DARREN CLARKE to beat Thomas Bjorn at $1.90 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 5% Bet)
IGNACIO GARRIDO to beat Peter Lawrie at $1.90 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet)
GARETH MAYBIN to win Group C in 72 hole betting on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 5% Bet) **Other players in group are Peter Lawrie, Bradley Dredge, Gregory Bourdy and Pablo Martin
PGA Tour
SEAN O’HAIR to beat Robert Allenby at $1.93 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 15% Bet)
JIM FURYK to beat Ernie Els at $1.93 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet)
JUSTIN ROSE to beat Graeme McDowell at $1.90 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 10% Bet)
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