April 9th – NRL Round 5 Preview and Bets
Week 5 in the NRL and there are some interesting prices on offer for us this weekend.
Friday night sees ST GEORGE ($1.12) take on the wounded BRISBANE BRONCO’S ($6.75) and all signs point to a Dragons victory. The only thing stopping jumping on the Dragons 13+ again is price ($1.48) and the record that teams have after playing Melbourne the week before.
The 2nd match of the night is much more appealing with the GOLD COAST TITANS ($2.60) taking on the MELBOURNE STORM ($1.52). It’s hard to see why The Storm are such generous odds after dismantling the 2nd favourites for the premiership in the Dragons last weekend. Meanwhile the Titans looked like a lost ship without Scott Prince at the helm. Prince is out again this weekend and I can see the same thing happening again.
Saturday night starts with SOUTH SYDNEY ($1.47) taking on the NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS ($2.75) and first signs point to a score fest with defence not a huge concern for either team. South’s were devastating against the Bulldogs last weekend and if there forward pack gets rolling this could get ugly. The knights meanwhile had a Jekyll and Hyde performance allowing the Panthers to storm home over the top for a big win after the Knights looked home and hosed at half-time. I’m going to leave betting on this match but I am tempted by the South 1-12 point win ($2.90) and assuming the weather holds getting on overs for total points.
I cannot believe the price of the BULLDOGS ($1.38) taking on the WARRIORS ($3.15) as I feel this match is a lot closer than that. The key indicator is what teams turn up to play. The Dogs admittedly just walked into a white hot South’s side last weekend while the Warriors were average at best against the Sea Eagles. No interest in betting here for me.
The final match of Saturday night is the COWBOYS ($1.77) taking on the WESTS TIGERS ($2.08) and although you never know which Tigers team will show up I was very impressed with the Cowboys last weekend when they finally gelled against the Titans. Jonathon Thurston found a great supporter in young gun Robert Thompson and I think with their massive forward pack they are going to make a real run at the premiership this year and could be a real bolter (Currently $27).
The remaining 3 games on Sunday and Monday have no interest for me at all in MANLY ($1.29) vs the SHARKS ($3.70), PENRITH PANTHERS ($1.80) taking on the ROOSTERS ($2.05) and finally PARRAMATTA EELS ($1.35) vs the CANBERRA RAIDERS ($3.30)
Our bets are:
MELBOURNE STORM to beat the Gold Coast Titans by 13+ at $2.90 on SportsBet (Sports Managed Fund 5% Bet)
Nth QLD COWBOYS to beat the Wests Tigers at $1.77 (Sports Managed Fund 15% Bet)
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