May 14th – NRL Round 10 Preview
Who’s want to be a NRL tipster this year. Every week there are a number of games when you might as well toss a coin up in the air and see how it falls. Luckily we aren’t getting dragged into betting for the sake of betting and it has proven successful with 4 wins from 7 bets and a 15% profit on investment so far. Again this weekend looks tough but
Before last weekend The Brisbane Broncos ($1.87) would have been $4.00 against the Gold Coast Titans ($1.97) tonight but after dismantling an ordinary Melbourne Storm they are suddenly favourites in the QLD derby. I am very tempted to back the Titans but the truth of the matter is the Bronco’s have a lot going for them. Quality forwards guided round by Quality halves with a young fast backline that most clubs would kill for and if last week was there turning point then this is the key to getting on a roll. If the Broncos win and win well tonight then expect them to make a real charge back to the top of the table and a real force for the rest of the year.
In the other Friday night game there is a lot of feeling between St George Dragons ($1.50) and Canterbury Bulldogs ($2.65). This has the potential to be a cracking match that will start with some fireworks up the centre as both sides pride themselves on laying a solid platform. Whichever team gets on top I would expect to let the ball sing in the second half and unleash the speed they both have. I am very interested to see how Matt Prior (A front rower) is going to go marking up on Josh Morris (A centre).
I was going jump on the NZ Warriors ($1.43) giving away whatever start the could against the NQLD Cowboys ($2.90) until the whisper went round that Jonathon Thurston is potentially playing. I still think the Warriors are going to be too good here and for a team the rides on emotion they will be pumped up after some big signings for the 2011 season that were announced during the week.
What a test for the Melbourne Storm ($1.68) heading down to what will be a freezing conditions in the nation’s capitol to take on the Canberra Raiders ($2.20). The Storms bubble may have been burst last week and players will start to question why they are bashing themselves around each week for no points. Some may have Origin spots to play for but the loss of Cameron Smith as well has got to put a huge question mark over their chances of winning this game.
The Sydney Roosters ($1.91) take on the Newcastle Knights ($1.93) in what will be a try fest. Both sides seem to show glimpses of what it is like to be a contender in the NRL before turning into park footballers and conceding piles of points in a short period. Both teams have a horrendous record at Blue Tongue Stadium as well so who on earth would you back?? Maybe a 32 all draw?
The West Tigers ($1.75) need to make a move against the South Sydney Rabbitohs ($2.10) if they are to be serious contenders this year. They are packed with talent from one side to the other and have a strong forward pack that can match the biggest of packs. Having said that they will need all of them this weekend against the biggest pack in the NRL. I think this will be won by the little men in the tigers outfit like Robbie Farah and Benji Marshall who can get the South’s boys on the back foot before unleashing the likes of Lote Tuqiri and Chris Lawrence who are both in fantastic form this year.
Many will try and convince me that the Cronulla Sharks ($2.75) will aim up and make a games of it against the Penrith Panthers ($1.46) but you can’t fool me. Once every 5 weeks the Sharks decide they have something to play for but if your backed against them every week you’d suffer the odd upset but you’d be rolling in cash. I feel for them in games and cheer them on because they do play with spirit but the truth of the matter is they are poorly coached and play with no direction. The Panthers will be lead by inspirational captain Petero Civoniceva who resigned with the club earlier In the week. Panthers by plenty for me.
The Parramatta Eels ($2.45) may have fooled a few experts this year with a few wins on the trot but they are in no way shape or form the same team as the one that charged through all teams on their way to the Grand Final last season. Jarrod Hayne has shown glimpses but I think is getting too involved in the general play rather than the rare brilliant touches that put him on the map in 2009. This week is a true test taking on a white hot Manly Sea Eagles ($1.57) side that has put away all comers in recent weeks including the previously dominant Dragons last weekend. To sway this match more in favour of the Eagles is the fact they are the Fortress Brookvale Oval which is not a nice place for opposition teams to visit which is aided by the fact they seem to win every single penalty count there by a long margin.
Our Bets this weekend are:
NZ WARRIORS minus 6.5 points to beat NQLD Cowboys at $1.90 (Sports Managed Fund 5% Win)
WESTS TIGERS minus 2 points to beat South Sydney Rabbitohs at $1.92 (Sports Managed Fund 5% Win)
MANLY SEA EAGLES minus 6.5 points to beat Parramatta Eels at $2.10 (Sports Managed Fund 10% Win)
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