December 26th – Boxing Day Racing
We start the days review at Randwick and get off to a cracking start with a former TopPunter winner SINCERO looking unbeatable in the 1st race of the day. I am normally not a fan of taking horse below the $1.70 mark but this just looks way too good for this field. We’ll lock the price in at $1.60 so at least it won’t go any lower. At first glance the 2nd race looks a similar story with FLYING SUCCESS a short priced favourite as well. However, on closer inspection you would have to be nervous. The horse just lost for us last start after working a little hard early and getting run over in the final 50m. This week it goes up 4.5kg’s (With the weight increase and jockey change) and it is up another 200m. I still think this horse has some talent but this looks to be a handy lay bet for me with some real talent in this field. The 3rd race is a total lottery with a number of first starters and horses with limited runs so we’ll stay away there.
The 4th race is very open as well and I’m finding it hard to really find anything that stands out for me. CARDINAL VIRTUE has been holding his own against some really strong opposition, whilst bottom weight MIGHTY OBVIOUS could spring a surprise at nice double figure odds if given a smooth run. The 5th race is another toughie with hardly any really good form to go through. The top 2 TORIO’S QUEST and HAVATRYST both represent reasonable claims but not enough for me to be overly confident on them. Best to stay away I think.
The top race of the day the Group 3 Summer Cup (6th) is next on the cards and has a solid field contesting over the 2400m. BEIJING BOY has been strongly supported on the back of its last 2 strong wins. It is jumping up in distance, however, it has won over the distance before and should do it again comfortably. If it can roll to the front and control the speed it will be right in this. ROCK KINGDOM is always running a strong race and would have to be considered in any multiples. Finally, BELLAGIO WYNN will be loving the dry weather they are having in Sydney firming up the track.
The 7th looms as another tough card and I’m starting to think I will only be betting at Randwick in the 1st race of the day. DANAGAZE looks well placed in this race but I thought we would get a much better price than this. It worked home very well in just its 2nd start in Sydney and looks to be well placed again here. FISCAL is very well placed in this race and has been right in the mix the last couple of starts. Glad to see it get over the line last start as I was worried this horse had no ticker. In the final race of the day I am very tempted to get on TRIPLE ELEGANCE but will decide later on for myself depending on any bias in the race. Will be on the pace and after a strong first up run it should be ready to hit its straps. GAZZA GURU looks to be a last race blow out chance on the back of a strong first up run at Rosehill. Drops 5kgs for this run and could be a real kick in the wallet for us. I will be interested to see the run of Torio’s Quest is in the 5th as the 2nd favourite here, in TOP DROP, got beaten a nose by it last start. If Torio wins then it will certainly look a lot more impressive. The odd runner here is THEROCK who has been very strongly supported so far even though it is first up for 2/3 of a year. The Gerald Ryan stable is very shrewd and should always be closely watched.
Our Early Mail Selections are:
1.20pm – Randwick Race 1 – 1. SINCERO (Managed Fund 5% Win)
1.30pm – Doomben Race 1 – 4. WHAT HAPPENEDHENRY (Managed Fund 3% Win)
2.55pm – Morphettville Race 3 – 3. CIRO PRINCE (Managed Fund 2% Win)
4.00pm – Caulfield Race 4 – 9. JEWEL THIEF (Managed Fund 2% Win)
5.10pm – Doomben Race 7 – 12. LOCHIEL (Managed Fund 3% Win)
Our Best Roughies are:
3.50pm – Doomben Race 5 – 8. CHILLED (Currently $31)
5.40pm – Randwick Race 8 – 12. GAZZA GURU (Currently $51)
6.00pm – Caulfield Race 7 – 14. GOSSIP GIRL (Currently $26)
December 25th – TopPunter Update
Hi all,
I’ve hada few questions from people who regularly view the website wondering why there have been very limited updates in recent times. The reason is the overwhelming administration work that has been coming in with so many subscribers taking advantage of the free offer. Unfrotauntely this does take a lot of time and i am looking at reviewing the process slightly in 2011 as my priorities as always have been my subscribers. My subscribers have continued to receive regular emails with all our bets which have seen strong profits in recent months and that will continue for the rest of the year and on through 2011. I will post our racing review for Boxing Day above and hope to include some of our Sports Bets over the Christmas period for those surfing the web but as always if you would like all the information you do need to sign up.
Cheers
Brad